As the Pennsylvania primary draws near on April 22, the focus is on Hillary rising in the polls against Obama. According to a March 20 Franklin & Marshall poll, the breakdown is:
February - Hillary: 44%, Obama: 37%
March - Hillary: 51%, Obama:35%
Where is the difference coming from? Obama has remained relatively stable while Clinton has risen somewhat. Most of her higher numbers are the result of the ranks of the undecided and "other" respondents shrinking.
The poll reports that the issues that have driven the change are not the current controversial Barak and Pastor Wright revelations, but solid domestic issues. The respondents are more interested in Clinton's focus on the economy and healthcare than Obama's "get out of Iraq no matter what the consequence" stance.
Still, April 22 is still a long way off, politically speaking. Any number of things could happen betwixt now and then to further polarize the Dems. If one or the other manages a landslide, it could push momentum in that direction.
But if remains this close in Pennsylvania and subsequent primaries, a bloodbath at the Democratic National Convention is a very real possibility.
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